AB Pol Econ

17Jan

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Employment, Opinion/Research, Politics

UCP declares war on Alberta Teachers

Updated 18 January 2021 With the stroke of a pen on a 23 December 2020 ministerial order, Finance Minister and Treasury Board President Travis Toews imposed an investment management agreement (IMA) on the Alberta Teachers Retirement Fund (ATRF). In a news release on 12 January 2021, Alberta Teachers’ Association (ATA) President Jason Shilling responded to the existence of the Ministerial Order on the ATRF website. Mr. Schilling of the ATA pointed out that the current outcome- an imposed IMA- was inconsistent with claims made by Finance Minister Toews when defending Bill 22, Reform of Agencies, Boards and Commissions and Government Enterprises Act. Bill 22 legislated the transfer of assets from ATRF management to the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) to occur by the end o...

11Jan

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Budget, Energy, Fiscal History, Government Finances

Hyndman Papers-Budget, NEP and Production Cutbacks

In this densely worded 4-page memorandum and Appendix from Deputy Provincial Treasurer A.F. "Chip" Collins to Treasurer Lou Hyndman, a financial analysis is undertaken by the staff within Fiscal Policy & Economic Analysis. The initials at the end of the memorandum indicate G. Lynn Duncan an Assistant Deputy Provincial Treasurer and A.G . (Arnie) Heisler, the Comptroller were its principal authors. This memorandum responds to a number of questions posed to the department in early March. The central question to be answered was "what is the value of the foregone production and is there a financial reward from shutting in production?" This would have been also been a central question for the Notley government back in 2017-18 when the differential was so low certain segments of the oil ind...

7Jan

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Budget, Economic Data, Employment, Energy, Fiscal History

Hyndman papers- preparations for 1981-82 budget

There are a number of interesting things in the following memo to the Priorities Committee of Cabinet taken from the Hyndman papers. It is March 1981 and there is enormous uncertainty which the Lougheed government has not been accustomed to. A global recession going on and the National Energy Program has thrown the Lougheed government curves never faced before including higher levels of unemployment. This was a government that had enjoyed the spoils of office for nearly a decade and those spoils are under assault from outside forces over which it has no control. The response of the federal government ("Ottawa government" or "Trudeau government") has chosen to protect the interests of the consuming provinces- the most populous provinces of Ontario (over 100 seats) and Quebec (75 seats). ...

2Jan

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, ATB, Government Finances, Intergovernmental, Politics

2020- Best of, Worst of Times Year in Review

In this look-back at 2020, we summarize our thoughts and opinions on some of the key stories in 2020- news, analysis and opinion by Abpolecon.ca. COVID-19 and a drastic drop in oil prices landed like a hammer on Alberta's economy and political landscape. News 28 February Provincial Budget was full of optimism- little did we know. I raised the flag of what's Plan B? 31 March On the final day of the 2019-20 fiscal year, the Alberta cabinet passed Order in Council 104/2020 which authorized the “President of Treasury Board and Minister of Finance to make advances to or purchase securities of the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission.” Alberta taxpayers had bought a stake in the Keystone XL The Minister of Finance was authorized to borrow up to $2 billion "for th...

21Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, ATB, Financial Institutions, Loan Losses, Politics

Bill 44 brings Alberta governments new supervisory powers over ATB Financial

Flying under the radar, the Finance Minister on 3 November introduced Bill 44 the Financial Statutes Amendment Act, an innocuous sounding Bill with important implications for ATB Financial. Minister Toews described the Bill as reducing red tape for "Alberta job creators while improving the resilience of Alberta's financial institutions." The Bill will improve Alberta’s regulatory environment and the competitiveness of Alberta’s financial sector. It will help Alberta attract much-needed investment and job creation in support of our economic recovery plan, and it will balance the government’s commitment to responsible oversight of Alberta’s financial institutions with their need to compete and evolve. However underneath the standard rhetoric of red tape reduction, job creation, and investme...

16Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Uncategorized

Hyndman Papers: Excerpts from Old Budget Speeches (Part 3)

Updated 16 December 2020 The final instalment in the Jim Dinning- Lou Hyndman memo prepared as background for a forthcoming budget- presumably 1980-81. The first part of these excerpts compare spending of the 50th anniversary celebration of Alberta's entry into confederation as a province with spending proposed for the 1980 - 75th celebrations. in addition, these excerpts from budgets in the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970 reflect perennial concerns of provincial treasurers: the constant spending pressures and the use of non-renewable resource revenues to fund the appetite for education, municipal, highways, and health services. These budgets including the final budget of the Social Credit government are full of admonishments towards spending beyond our means and the perils of debt and Canada's ...

11Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

ATB, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

ATB Financial silently announces a surprising profit

As has now become the customary, on 19 November ATB quietly released its second quarter financial statement. Postmedia and The Globe and Mail did not report the rather surprising profit turnaround at the publicly-owned financial institution. The provincial agency's news release entitled "Helping Albertans move forward" speaks of the assistance ATB has given many of its borrowers, courtesy of a mandate of the Kenney government. According to the release ATB has "reached out" to an unspecified "thousands of consumer and business customers who participated in our relief program to draw up personalized plans supporting their financial future." Consistent with government efforts to attract investment and diversify the Alberta economy, the release states: ATB is helping...

10Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Budget, Energy, Fiscal History

Hyndman Papers: Excerpts from Old Budget Speeches (Part 2)

Updated 16 December 2020 In this remarkable and lengthy undated memorandum from Jim Dinning, a future Treasurer and candidate for the premiership of Alberta, to Lou Hyndman, Dinning highlights some historical issues which still confound Alberta finances to this day. (The italics are Dinning classification of issues for Treasurer Hyndman.) Central to preparing a budget in the 1980s was the reliability of non-renewable resource revenue. Back in the 1930s, 1940s, and 1950s natural resource revenue was also front of mind. The growing dependence on resource revenue was underlined in Ernest Manning's 1950 budget. A dilemma for provincial treasurers then, in 1980, and today is the balancing of pressures for spending, the proper stewardship of resource revenue, and the need to contain "insatiabl...

9Dec

By Bob Ascah1 Comment

Budget, Fiscal History, Politics

A presentation to the Board of the Edmonton Chamber of Commerce – A Sales Tax for Alberta-Why and How

This morning I made a presentation to the Board of Directors of the Edmonton Chamber and senior management of the Edmonton Chamber. Below is the PowerPoint/PDF. Although the business community is still generally negative to a provincial sales tax, possibly harmonized with the federal GST, there appears to be a growing realization that non-renewable resource revenue will not be sufficient alone to balance Alberta's structural deficits. In late October, the Chamber released Forging our Future which includes the following: While government spending and support programs are critical right now,we must not lose sight of the fiscal challenges on the horizon.We recommend a review of the Canadian tax system and a review ofAlberta’s revenue sources, including consideration for a consumption t...

7Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Uncategorized

Hyndman Papers: Excerpts from Old Budget Speeches (Part 1)

Updated 16 January 2020 From the Provincial Archives of Alberta and the Hyndman papers comes an undated memorandum from Jim Dinning to Lou Hyndman giving a history of previous budgets. The tone seems archaic in this elite white male system, These excerpts underline the great optimism which has been incorporated into the psyche of most Albertans. An unbounded future- ever expansionary- no room for pessimists and little time for opposition members. The tone is also conversational in these first segments indicating that few in the population knew about or cared about this arcane art of provincial budgeting. FROM: Jim Dinning Executive Assistant TO: Hon. Lou Hyndman Provincial Treasurer REVIEW OF PREVIOUS BUDGETS...