Agencies Archives - AB Pol Econ

AIMCO and the Heritage Fund- What is investment income? Part 3

26Feb

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Government Finances, Investment, Opinion/Research

AIMCO and the Heritage Fund- What is investment income? Part 3

In the first part of this series, I investigated information the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) supplies to the Securities and Exchange Commission on their quarterly Form 13F filing. Some unusual findings were cited about AIMCo's U.S. holdings, that to my knowledge, have not been publicized before. In Part 2, I looked at AIMCo's total portfolio and performance metrics which are disclosed in its 2022 annual report, the latest available. I concluded that Alberta taxpayers and citizens deserve much better financial reporting on the significant assets managed by the Government of Alberta and its agencies. Indeed, given AIMCo's performance on its fixed income portfolio, I argued that it would be prudent for Treasury Board and Finance to consider repatriating managing short t...

Auditor General ‘qualifies’ his unqualified opinion

5Feb

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Credit Ratings, Energy, Environment, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

Auditor General ‘qualifies’ his unqualified opinion

In December 2023 Alberta’s Auditor General, Doug Wylie produced a report on his opinion on the Government of Alberta’s Consolidated Financial Statements, The report identifies in the matters which, in the professional judgment of the Auditor General and his staff (OAG), were the most significant matters raised during their audit work. These matters were the Accounting for environmental liabilities Implementation of the new public sector accounting standards related to asset retirement obligations, financial instruments, and foreign currency. (OAG, December 2023, p. 15). This post focusses on environmental liabilities. Background Alberta’s financial statements are released by the end of June each year by the Finance Minister and the OAG’s audit objective is “to provi...

14Jan

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

AIMCo’s investments -Part 1- U.S. equities

In my recent post describing events at the public meeting of the Standing Committee of the Alberta Heritage Fund I provided an overview of AIMCo's investments in the United States. In this post, the first of a three part series, I take a deeper look at AIMCo's U.S. portfolio.The next part addresses AIMCo's overall portfolio of about $150 billion and part 3 examines the volatility of Heritage Fund income. Background As an institutional investor with over $100-million in U.S. registered securities AIMCo is required to file a monthly Form 13F. The filing was utilized by members of the public questioning the wisdom and ethics of certain investments. This externally required disclosure by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission only shows a small proportion of AIMCo's total assets un...

Heritage Fund annual public meeting- Gaza, transparency, and many unanswered questions

13Jan

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Investment, Opinion/Research, Politics

Heritage Fund annual public meeting- Gaza, transparency, and many unanswered questions

At the end of November, I attended the public meeting of the Standing Committee of the Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund. Go here to access the transcript of the meeting on 30 November 2023. The previous year I attended the public meeting on 27 October 2022- transcript here. In 2022, I was the only member of the public personally in attendance with others accessing the meeting via phone or social media. This year, there were nine citizens who spent two hours of their time watching the committee and asking Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) and Treasury Board and Finance (TGF) officials questions. In previous years, there was greater public interest with venues as large as the Italian Community Centre booked for larger numbers. I sincerely hope that we will see more inte...

Northwest Upgrader- more surprises ahead for Alberta taxpayers?

18Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Credit Ratings, Energy, Government Finances, Politics

Northwest Upgrader- more surprises ahead for Alberta taxpayers?

Soon after the Legislative Assembly was recessed on 6 December, Alberta’ Executive Council (provincial cabinet) passed Order in Council 219/2023 to authorize the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission (APMC) to borrow money to finance the operations of the North West Redwater (Sturgeon) refinery. The maximum amount to be borrowed "shall not exceed $2.9-billion"- hardly a relief for Alberta taxpayers. The O.C. also authorizes the President of Treasury Board and Minister of Finance to “make advances to or purchase securities of the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission” not to exceed the same $2.9-billion limit. It will be the Crown in Right of Alberta who will be raising this money by issuing securities and the Crown will become the debtor. Under section 7, the terms and conditions ...

Alberta government could be on hook for $1.3-billion

17Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Government Finances, Opinion/Research, Politics

Alberta government could be on hook for $1.3-billion

Background In March 2020 the Alberta government’s investment manager the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) lost approximately $2-billion due to trading losses. AIMCo had established an investment strategy based on, in effect, insuring counter-parties against volatility trading losses. This strategy was called VOLTs for volatility trading strategy. The losses occur occurred suddenly due to dramatic financial market volatility caused by the declaration of the global COVID pandemic. The impact of these losses was felt most particularly by Alberta’s public sector plans including the Local Authorities Pension Plan (LAPP), the Public Service Pension Plan (PSPP) and the Special Forces Pension Plan (SPFF). Soon after the losses were revealed, AIMCo’s board commissioned a study ...

An Alberta Pension Plan (APP): Your Plan, Their Choice

24Sep

By Bob Ascah1 Comment

Agencies, Demographics, Financial Institutions, Opinion/Research, Politics

An Alberta Pension Plan (APP): Your Plan, Their Choice

Updated 25 September 2023 Updated 30 September 2023 “This report shows a made-in-Alberta pension plan could put more money in the pockets of hard-working families and business owners and improve retirement security for seniors. We want to hear from you because it’s your pension, your choice. I’m so excited to hear what Albertans think about a provincial pension plan that could benefit Albertans now as well as our future generations.” Danielle Smith, Premier In this post I critically examine the upcoming battle between the UCP state, business organizations, and Alberta sovereigntists versus a labour -NDP coalition led opposition of concerned seniors and worried CPP contributors. First, I begin referencing the debate over the past two days and then investigate the central polit...

18Sep

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Budget, Credit Ratings, Investment, Politics

2023-24 First Quarter Fiscal Update

The First Quarter Fiscal Update released on 31 August 2023 by Treasury Board President and Finance Minister Nate Horner showed marginal change in the budgetary surplus estimated last February. This analysis looks through these numbers to underlying trends. With oil prices now over $90, there is some cause for optimism. So far this year WTI oil prices have averaged about $76.50 U.S./barrel which is about $2.50 U.S. lower than the budget estimate. Much will depend on whether western economies achieve a “soft landing” avoiding a deep recession with falling oil demand. On 14 September DBRS Morningstar raised Alberta’s credit rating a notch to AA (see discussion below). Is spending out of control? No On page 4 in the Fiscal Plan Summary table, total expenditure was $64.5 billion in 2022-2...

Oil and Gas royalties, unpaid municipal taxes, and unaddressed reclamation

17Apr

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Budget, Energy, Environment, Opinion/Research

Oil and Gas royalties, unpaid municipal taxes, and unaddressed reclamation

In June 2022, Alberta’s then Energy Minister Sonya Savage, a former executive with the Canadian Energy Pipelines Association, warned the federal government not to consider a tax on windfall profits of the energy industry. When asked about the oil industry’s record cash flows and remediation liabilities, Savage stated: “The current spike in oil prices isn’t enough reason to require the industry to spend more on cleaning up the tens of thousands of abandoned oil and gas wells in the province.” In reflecting on this statement, it suggests that expanded spending by Alberta’ producers on remediation expenses might imply royalty payments to Alberta might fall. In short, the province may have a short-term financial interest in not losing revenue when reclamation spending increases. This con...

11Dec

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, ATB, Banks, Financial Institutions

Hyndman papers- Pocklington introduced to the Alberta government via ATB- 1983

The following extract, from Lou Hyndman's files when he was Provincial Treasurer, is an undated, unsigned briefing note about Alberta Treasury Branches (now ATB Financial) concerning a refinancing and resecuring of debt. From the note it appears that Pocklington's primary bank dealings were not with ATB but with another undisclosed financial institution. According to the note, dealings between ATB and Pocklington were "satisfactory." Pocklington at that time had interests in Edmonton Motors, the Oilers and Fidelity Trust whose ownership had been effectively taken from Pocklington. At the bottom of the briefing note was the very clear statement that ATB nor the Government of Alberta was interested in acquiring any interest in the Oilers' hockey club. The $11-million debenture soon gr...