Monday, May 20
Alberta’s economy from a bank(s)’ perspective
Uncategorized

Alberta’s economy from a bank(s)’ perspective

It is difficult for Alberta residents not to be caught up in the "challenges" facing our currently depressed economy.  Whether you are a social worker addressing crises stemming from the wildfires or recent unemployment of clients to a young entrepreneur struggling to make inroads into craft brewing, it is difficult to step outside one's immediate "space-time continuum." So this column is going to take the quarterly reports from seven banks' most recent quarterly reports (31 July 2016), summarizing the comments about "Alberta," "energy," and "oil and gas."  One of the banks is Canadian Western Bank and it is not surprising that considerably more attention was paid to these terms than by the Big 6 banks. For those readers wishing more detail, the link below extracts the key sections of the...
The Matter of "free, prior and informed consent"
Energy, Environment

The Matter of "free, prior and informed consent"

Shawn McCarthy's column of 16 September  discussed the question of what "consent" means to First Nations' communities through which proposed pipelines run through. In Alberta, the New Democrat government agreed to be bound by the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples. The federal government also  agreed to be so bound after taking office from the Conservative government last October. The federal government has not yet officially agreed to the Declaration. (more…)
Labour Relations
Uncategorized

Labour Relations

Two recent developments on the labour front suggest that the provincial government does not intend to reduce wages in the public sector...yet. Custodians at Edmonton Public Schools received a new three-year contract.  The contract grants the 800 workers a 1.75 per cent increase effective 1 September 2016, a two per cent retroactive adjustment for 2015-16 and a $700 lump sum retroactive payment to September 2014. Last week, the provincial government concluded an agreement with the Alberta Medical Association.  According to the government's news release, a "needs-based" Physician Resource Plan will place physicians where they are needed.  The agreement also is expected to "improve financial sustainability, quality of care, and access."  Moreover, a new compensation model will be developed...
Weak Land Tenure Sales Persist
Budget, Energy

Weak Land Tenure Sales Persist

Originally posted 6 September 2016 Sales of oil sands leases since 1 April, the start of the Province`s fiscal year have been weak. As the table below illustrates,  except for the June sale, interest has been weak. Land sales remain important as a leading indicator of future energy investment. Public Sales Results- Oilsands Date Bonus Hectares $/HA 11-May 61,690.63 5,169.89 11.93 25-May 3,717.12 1,024.00 3.63 22-Jun 11,170,378.05 28,039.00 398.39 06-Jul 150,192.64 1,280.00 117.34 03-Aug 170,923.52 3,264.00 52.37 Totals 11,556,901.96 38,776.89 298.0358136 The charts following are taken from the Department of Energy`s webpage disclosing its Petroleum and Natural Gas Sales Statistics. The historical data prov...
Election planning- Opinion
Uncategorized

Election planning- Opinion

Tom Flanagan's article in The Globe and Mail on 3 September offers one perspective on recent changes to general election financing in Alberta. In his opinion piece, Professor Flanagan analyzes the recent moves by the NDP government to alter the electoral playing field. Dr. Flanagan is no stranger to election planning and understands intimately the details of election finance laws. Flanagan  observes that changes proposed in Bill 1, which ended corporate and union donations harmed the Progressive Conservatives in two respects.  First, by ending corporate donations, the Tories gave up a huge advantage enjoyed since the time of the Lougheed dynasty.  Over their 44 year reign, the PC Association of Alberta collected millions from oil firms, construction and engineering firms, and law firms,...
Alberta Finance Minister releases First Quarter Update
Uncategorized

Alberta Finance Minister releases First Quarter Update

On 23 August, Joe Ceci, Treasury Board President and Finance Minister released the provincial government's first scorecard on its April budget. The First Quarter Fiscal Update detailed the financial implications of the Fort McMurray wildfire.  However, the net impact of the fire, after estimated federal assistance, is minimal in a financial sense but not a human one. A key concern for provincial fiscal planners will be the pace of rebuilding in the Wood Buffalo area and projected rise in employment in this area. The practice of updating the public on the province's fiscal situation goes back to the mid-1990s when then Treasurer Jim Dinning brought in a batch of fiscal rules to consolidate financial reporting and to mandate firm deadlines for budget updates and financial reports. Reve...
Office Property in Alberta
Commercial

Office Property in Alberta

Originally posted 18 August 2016 Update of Dream Office REIT The below news article from Andrew Willis of The Globe and Mail signals the expectation that contrarian investment fund Slate Asset management will purchase a significant portion or all of its Alberta properties. Dream last year wrote down a very significant portion of its 45 properties. As the report records, two very different views on Alberta real estate are destined to converge as Dream exits the market and Slate takes a much longer view. (more…)
Update on personal bankruptcies
Bankruptcies

Update on personal bankruptcies

Originally posted 18 August 2016 Equifax Canada, one of Canada's largest consumer debt rating monitoring firms,  released today (18 August) information about average debt and delinquency rates by age categories, major city, and provincial breakdowns. In Calgary, the average debt level (excluding mortgages) was the highest in Canada at $28,572 up by only 1.2 per cent year-over-year.  This was, significantly, the smallest increase in Canadian cities.  Calgary's delinquency rate at 1.1 per cent was the same as the average Canadian delinquency rate. The delinquency rate for Calgary rose by 32.2. per cent year over year, the second fastest in the country. (more…)
Ontario vs. Alberta
Opinion/Research

Ontario vs. Alberta

A recent Globe and Mail piece (14 August 2016) uncovered an analysis prepared for Labour Minister MaryAnn Mihychuk in February 2016 contrasting the seriousness of the 2008-09 auto bailout with Alberta's current economic and financial woes. The analysis compared unemployment rates in Ontario's manufacturing sector with Alberta's oilpatch. Alberta's unemployment rate in the oil sector rose from 2.9 per cent in 2011 to 7.9 per cent in 2015, whereas Ontario's manufacturing sector unemployment rate rose to 21.9 per cent in 2009 from 8.4 per cent in 2007. The article acknowledged that unemployment in the oil patch remains high and the general unemployment is at its highest in 22 years. A Western University economics professor is cited as saying that another reason for the auto bailo...
Electricity De-Regulation and the "Enron clause"
Energy

Electricity De-Regulation and the "Enron clause"

Originally posted 16 August 2016 The de-regulation of electricity markets was a cornerstone policy of the Klein years. Recently the government has commenced legal proceedings to roll back a clause in the Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) known as the “Enron clause.” (more…)