AB Pol Econ

11Jul

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Government Finances, Health, Opinion/Research, Politics

Alberta Nurses- Poised to Strike?

Soon after Finance Minister Travis Toews announced a $17-billion deficit, on 6 July he fired a warning shot at the United Nurses of Alberta. While acknowledging nurses’ contributions to responding to the COVID-19 health crisis (“working diligently throughout”), the News release stressed “the important work of getting the province’s finances back on track.” The terse release reiterated the gist of the MacKinnon Report’s recommendations that for Alberta to rebalance its finances it must cut both the size of the public service as well as bring salaries and benefits in line with other provinces. According to Toews, nurses in Alberta get paid 5.6 per cent more than other comparator provinces (presumably B.C., Quebec and Ontario). This differential costs the Alberta taxpayers an extra $141-mill...

10Jul

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Budget, Energy, Government Finances

Budget Deficit “falls” to $17 billion

Highlights Deficit up significantly from Budget 2020 due to COVID-19 and oil price drop but lower that first quarter forecast due to rising oil prices in final fiscal quarter (January-March 2021). Government takes a $1.3-billion write-down of its investment in TC Energy’s Keystone XL pipeline. Education spending significantly lower than budget (4 %) and from last year (4.9 %). Total revenues were $6.8-billion lower than budget while federal transfers $1.5-billion higher than last year. Dark spots- government investments- Keystone XL, oil-by-rail contracts, and the Sturgeon refinery. Finance Minister Toews released the Province’s annual financial report on Wednesday 30 June. In his press release he emphasized the “notable fiscal gains made in (the) final months of 2020-21.” It was an upb...

4Jul

By Bob Ascah2 Comments

Agencies, Energy, Environment, Opinion/Research

Alberta’s environmental bills coming due. Who will Pay?

The release of The Big Cleanup: How enforcing the Polluter Pay principle can unlock Alberta’s next great jobs boom on Tuesday 29 June by the Alberta Liabilities Disclosure Project is an important next step in the Province coming to terms with its oil and gas legacy. The easy-to-read 40-page report comes complete with nuggets of information to jar government and industry policy-makers along with a dozen recommendations to minimize the costs to Canadian and Albertan taxpayers. Preliminary There is little doubt that Albertans have enjoyed the fruits of the periodic capital investment booms of the energy industry since the 1950s. These fruits included low unemployment rates, highest incomes in Canada, generous government services, low taxes, and Canada’s highest “standard of living.” Standard...

27Jun

By Bob AscahNo Comments

ATB, Banks, Financial Institutions, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

Hyndman Papers- ATB and the chartered banks

In the following correspondence between the Provincial Treasurer and TD-Bank's vice-president of the Alberta South Division, a longstanding complaint by the chartered banks about unfair competition from Alberta Treasury Branches (ATB) is revealed. Backdrop In the late 1970s, the North American economy faced surging inflation rates in the low teens and Federal Reserve Board Chairman, Paul Volcker was determined to drive the economy into recession by imposing high interest rates. The Bank of Canada, led by Gerald Bouey followed suit and Canada's bank rate approached 20 per cent. Inevitably, heavily indebted famers, home buyers, and businesses appealed to various orders of government to shield them from the effects of high interest rates. As the correspondence reveals, Alberta's Treasurer ha...

22Jun

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Agencies, Energy, Environment, Health, Politics

The times they are a’changin

Come senators, congressmenPlease heed the callDon't stand in the doorwayDon't block up the hallFor he that gets hurtWill be he who has stalledThe battle outside ragin'Will soon shake your windowsAnd rattle your walls… Bob Dylan On Thursday 18 June a remarkable event took place. The near simultaneous release of an Alberta Energy Regulator (AER)/Canadian Environment Impact Assessment Agency (CEIAA) joint panel rejection of the controversial Grassy Meadows coal project and a news release from Alberta's Environment and Energy ministers "respecting" the Joint Panel’s recommendations. The Thursday announcements followed declarations by federal Environment Minister Jonathan Wilkinson that all coal projects which produced selenium would be subject to federal review due to the environmental impa...

20Jun

By Bob AscahNo Comments

ATB, Politics

Hyndman papers: Treasury Branches (Part 1)

In these excerpts from the Hyndman papers are glimpses of both the political and administrative issues associated with a provincial government owning a de facto bank. The first memorandum, from the Provincial Treasurer to his deputy, suggests that just prior to the memo's execution an M.L.A., irate at being surprised that a Treasury Branch in his/her constituency had closed or was about to close, and they had been not informed. The closure of bank branches in rural areas during the 1980s and 1990s caused the federal government to require the banks to go though a reporting process and the giving of notice to communities about the intended branch closures. This was also adopted by the Alberta government around 2000 and still is included in the Mandate and Roles document which outlines a 9...

13Jun

By Bob Ascah2 Comments

Agencies, Energy, Environment, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

Exploring the Regulatory Maze (3): The Auditor General Reports…

The bizarre story of the Mine Financial Security program (MFSP) continues to unfold. In May, the Minister of the Environment and Parks, Jason Nixon announced a review of the program noting depressed profits in 2020 motivated the government to reset the rules in calculating security requirements. This meant that increased security requirements under the existing requirement would be reduced. Then on 10 June, Auditor General Doug Wylie released a report which focused on processes to provide information about government's environmental liabilities. The report unfortunately raises serious questions about the competencies of provincial officials at all levels as well as the failure of senior officials and ministers to accept responsibility for environmental cleanups. Wylie’s report addres...

3Jun

By Bob Ascah1 Comment

Agencies, ATB

ATB reports highest operating revenue ever- profit seems secondary

On 21 May ATB Financial released its 2020-21 annual report before its virtual public general meeting. Media pick-up was light with Postmedia reporting the lukewarm results. ATB's financial reporting over the past four years places great emphasis on "operating revenue" and not net profit. This would appear to fly in the face of a new statutory provision in the ATB Financial Act that requires ATB, in carrying on its business, to: (a) manage its business in a commercial and cost-effective manner,(b) seek to earn risk-adjusted rates of return that are similar to or better than the returns of comparable financial institutions in both the short term and the long term, and(c) avoid an undue risk of loss by prudently managing its business, which includes establishing...

30May

By Bob AscahNo Comments

Energy

Exploring the regulatory maze (Part 2): Mine Financial Security Program

On 6 May the Minister of Environment and Parks, Jason Nixon announced a program review on the Mine Financial Security program (MFSP). According to the news release, "(A)s of June 30, 2020, $1.48 billion was being held in security under the MFSP. Oilsands mines account for just under $1 billion of this total." The program "helps manage coal and oilsands liabilities by collecting financial security from mine owners and protects the public from paying for project closure costs" (emphasis added). In addition to security deposits, the oilsands producers “use their reserves as collateral for financial security." This promise from Nixon to protect the taxpayers was backed up by Laurie Pushor, the new CEO of the Alberta Energy Regulator. In a one-year on the job interview with The Canadian Press’...

30May

By Bob Ascah3 Comments

Energy, Environment, Government Finances

International Energy Agency- Bombshell Report

Until about five years ago the International Energy Agency was beholden to Big Oil. It is no more. Its blockbuster report dropped on an unsuspecting world on 18 May raises deep questions about Big Oil’s survival much past the next decade. The report of 223 pages entitled Net Zero by 2050- A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector, contains four main chapters, four appendices, and six pages of references. With ESG investing in ascendance, Alberta’s regulatory system of setting security requirements broken, now there is considerable doubt that long-term bitumen reserves have the value they once had.. The IEA volume is organized in four parts: implications of country’s net-zero pledges; global pathway to net-zero CO2 emissions in in 2050; sectoral pathways to net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050; and...