Thursday, April 3

Government Finances

Budget, Fiscal History, Government Finances

Budget Process: Pros & Cons of Supplementary Estimates

This memorandum from the late summer of 1981 captures the momentum of spending that had built up under the Lougheed government in 1981. As previous documents have shown, a great deal of money was being spent to cushion the blows from the National Energy Program and the attendant difficulties associated with lower oil price projections and high interest rates.  As departments rushed to take advantage of a more generous attitude within the provincial cabinet to spend, the volume of additional requests suggested mid-year of supplementary estimates to presented at a fall sitting of the Legislative Assembly. Collins' memorandum attempts to get ahead of the list of Special Warrants, appropriations made by the provincial cabinet rather than the Legislative Assembly.  These Special Warrants would ...
Budget, Capital Spending, Fiscal History, Government Finances

Hyndman Papers- 1982-83 Budget Deliberations

1982 was a pivotal year for Alberta as the twin effects of a world recession and falling oil investment forced Alberta policy-makers to pull out all the stops. Western separatism was a worry for Peter Lougheed when Gordon Kessler of the Western Canada Concept party won a February 1982 by-election in the rural constituency of  Olds-Didsbury. This was also a time for budgetary largesse. In a 2011 article in Policy Options, economists Herb Emery and Ron Kneebone: Provincial support for the industry included a $5.4-billion program, introduced in 1982, consisting of royalty reductions and grants designed to increase the flow of revenue to the industry. In the same year the federal government would supplement this effort with its own $2-billion assistance plan. Measured in 2008 dollars, these t...
Budget, Employment, Government Finances

Are the UCP good fiscal managers?

Updated 9 February 2021 On Monday, 18 January Service Alberta quietly issued a request for expressions of interest (REOI) to sell the data contained in systems from the Province's Land Titles Office (LTO), Personal Property Registry (PPR) information, and Corporate Registry data (COR). This Request was reported by the CBC on 21 January and Postmedia on 23 January. The Service Alberta ministry is run by Nate Glubish, the UCP member from Strathcona-Sherwood Park.  (Picture source:Wikipedia)   Background There has been little comment on this move by the Alberta government in the ten days or so since the REOI. The intent of the process is to determine the interest by private sector actors in buying an "exclusive 35-year concession" to sell information to registries from the databases of the P...
Agencies, Employment, Energy, Government Finances, Intergovernmental, Opinion/Research

GOA’s investment in Keystone XL looks shaky

Updated 25 January 2021 to reflect Kenney-Trudeau letter It was perhaps a foregone conclusion that Joseph R. Biden Jr. would sign an executive order soon after his inauguration rescinding the permit allowing TC Energy to build the Keystone XL pipeline.  But hope springs eternal in some locales in Alberta. And yet, the heavily signalled order  sat on the newly -minted President's desk. Executive Order on "Protecting Public Health and the Environment and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis," a lengthy discourse of executive actions, revoked the March 2019 Permit for the Keystone XL Pipeline. According to the Order  The Keystone XL pipeline disserves the U.S. national interest. The United States and the world face a climate crisis. That crisis must be met with action on a scale an...
Budget, Energy, Fiscal History, Government Finances

Hyndman Papers-Budget, NEP and Production Cutbacks

In this densely worded 4-page memorandum and Appendix from Deputy Provincial Treasurer A.F. "Chip" Collins to Treasurer Lou Hyndman, a financial analysis is undertaken by the staff within Fiscal Policy & Economic Analysis. The initials at the end of the memorandum indicate G. Lynn Duncan an Assistant Deputy Provincial Treasurer and A.G . (Arnie) Heisler, the Comptroller were its principal authors.  This memorandum responds to a number of questions posed to the department in early March. The central question to be answered was "what is the value of the foregone production and is there a financial reward from shutting in production?" This would have been also been a central question for the Notley government back in 2017-18 when the differential was so low certain segments of the oil ind...
Agencies, ATB, Government Finances, Intergovernmental, Politics

2020- Best of, Worst of Times Year in Review

In this look-back at 2020, we summarize our thoughts and opinions on some of the key stories in 2020- news,  analysis and opinion by Abpolecon.ca. COVID-19 and a drastic drop in oil prices landed like a hammer on Alberta's economy and political landscape. News 28 February  Provincial Budget was full of optimism- little did we know. I raised the flag of what's Plan B? 31 March  On the final day of the 2019-20 fiscal year, the Alberta cabinet passed Order in Council 104/2020 which authorized the “President of Treasury Board and Minister of Finance to make advances to or purchase securities of the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission.” Alberta taxpayers had bought a  stake in the Keystone XL  The Minister of Finance was authorized to borrow up to $2 billion "for th...
ATB, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

ATB Financial silently announces a surprising profit

As has now become the customary, on 19 November ATB quietly released its second quarter financial statement. Postmedia and The Globe and Mail did not report the rather surprising profit turnaround at the publicly-owned financial institution.  The provincial agency's news release entitled "Helping Albertans move forward"  speaks of the assistance ATB has given many  of its borrowers, courtesy of a mandate of the Kenney government. According to the release ATB has "reached out" to  an unspecified "thousands of consumer and business customers who participated in our relief program to draw up personalized plans supporting their financial future." Consistent with government efforts to attract investment and diversify the Alberta economy, the release states: ATB is helping...
Budget, Credit Ratings, Government Finances, Intergovernmental, Opinion/Research

Mid-year Fiscal and Economic Update- Analysis & Opinion

Slight improvement in deficit forecast for 2020-21 Recalibration of 3-year budget plan Balanced budget pushed further into future Fiscal anchors Ottawa's growing indebtedness and other grievances  Job Creation Tax Cut and cutting red tape expected to spur investment and employment Government stays with present course to resize spending Small hint about need to examine revenue structure On Tuesday 24 November, Finance Minister Travis Toews released the 2020-21 Mid-year Fiscal Update and Economic Statement. (Watch the Press Conference here.) There was a slight improvement in the deficit numbers in the First Quarter Fiscal Forecast - then the deficit was estimated to be $24.8 billion- now the Government expects a $21.3 billion deficit. Improvements came mainly on the revenue side with $1.4 b...
Capital Spending, Economic Data, Energy, Environment, Fiscal History, Government Finances, Politics

Presentation to EQUS directors- 23 November

EQUS is a small, co-operative distributor of  electricity to 12,000, mostly rural, customers.  The organization is the product of a series of mergers of rural electrification co-operatives over the past two decades. EQUS employs about 100 staff with its head office in Innisfail. The presentation, provocatively entitled "Alberta's Crumbling Economic and Fiscal Foundation" builds on concerns about the future health of Alberta's economy in a world where international financial capital places more emphasis on renewable energy solutions. The presentation highlights the pivotal role of capital expenditures of the oil and gas sector which have driven the Alberta economy since 1947. Alberta's gross fixed capital formation (oil and gas, institutional, industrial, residential and non-residential bui...
AIMCo CEO Compensation 2008-2020
Agencies, Government Finances

AIMCo CEO Compensation 2008-2020

This article follows  a similar format as the analysis of ATB’s CEO compensation. We begin with some background on the creation of the corporation in 2007 from published and unpublished research. Then follows a series of charts illustrating the evolution of AIMCo CEO pay over the period.  The concluding section investigates the question of pay equity by comparing the AIMCo chief’s compensation against the average compensation of AIMCo employees, peers- the Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec (Caisse), the British Columbia Investment Management Corporation (BCMIC), and senior elected and appointed provincial officials. A slide deck is included at the bottom of this article. Background In 2007, the Alberta Investment Management Corporation Act was passed creating a board-governe...