Monday, December 23

Government Finances

AIMCO and the Heritage Fund- What is investment income? Part 3
Agencies, Government Finances, Investment, Opinion/Research

AIMCO and the Heritage Fund- What is investment income? Part 3

In the first part of this series, I investigated information the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) supplies to the Securities and Exchange Commission on their quarterly Form 13F filing. Some unusual findings were cited about AIMCo's U.S. holdings, that to my knowledge, have not been publicized before.  In Part 2, I looked at AIMCo's total portfolio and performance metrics which are disclosed in its 2022 annual report, the latest available. I concluded that Alberta taxpayers and citizens deserve much better financial reporting on the significant assets managed by the Government of Alberta and its agencies. Indeed, given AIMCo's performance on its fixed income portfolio, I argued that it would be prudent for Treasury Board and Finance to consider repatriating managing short t...
Budget, Capital Spending, Credit Ratings, Energy, Environment, Fiscal History, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

Kaplan-Ten major reasons why Alberta’s new fiscal framework won’t bring a long-term sustainability focus to fiscal planning.

In this critical and timely essay- a few days before the province's 2024 Budget is tabled, fiscal planning expert Lennie Kaplan provides an in-depth analysis of problems embedded in the Smith government's Sustainable Fiscal Planning and Reporting Act (SFPRA).  Kaplan argues the SFPRA must be fully re-opened to meet Premier Smith’s commitment to long-term fiscal planning. This analysis reveals there is a great deal of flexibility in the government's framework in spite of the impression that the government has little fiscal flexibility to spend. In her televised address on February 21, 2024, Premier Smith promised to bring a long-term fiscal sustainability focus to Alberta fiscal planning, including building up the assets of the Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund (AHSTF) and paying d...
Auditor General ‘qualifies’ his unqualified opinion
Agencies, Credit Ratings, Energy, Environment, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

Auditor General ‘qualifies’ his unqualified opinion

In December 2023 Alberta’s Auditor General, Doug Wylie produced a report on his opinion on the Government of Alberta’s Consolidated Financial Statements,  The report  identifies in the matters which, in the professional judgment of the Auditor General and his staff (OAG), were the most significant matters raised during their audit work. These matters were the Accounting for environmental liabilities Implementation of the new public sector accounting standards related to asset retirement obligations, financial instruments, and foreign currency. (OAG, December 2023, p. 15). This post focusses on environmental liabilities. Background Alberta’s financial statements are released by the end of June each year by the Finance Minister and the OAG’s audit objective is “to provi...
AIMCo’s Portfolio and Performance (Part 2)
Credit Ratings, Government Finances, Investment, Politics

AIMCo’s Portfolio and Performance (Part 2)

This series has been informed by the public meeting of the Standing Committee of Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund. An overview of the meeting can be found on Abpolecon.ca here. Part 1 investigated information the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) supplies to the Securities and Exchange Commission on their quarterly Form 13F filing. Some unusual findings were cited about AIMCo's U.S. holdings, that to my knowledge have not been publicized before. The 13F filing is the most current disclosure of AIMCo's assets to 30 September 2023. In Part 2, I examine AIMCo's total portfolio and performance metrics which are disclosed in its 2022 annual report, the latest available. At the Heritage Fund public meeting on 30 November 2023 (Hansard record), one of the problems ide...
Now is the time to establish a Legislative Assembly Budget Office in Alberta says Lennie Kaplan
Credit Ratings, Government Finances, Opinion/Research, Politics

Now is the time to establish a Legislative Assembly Budget Office in Alberta says Lennie Kaplan

In a second of a series of essays recommending more fiscal accountability, Lennie Kaplan proposes a new legislative office. The office would assist legislators outside in provincial cabinet in holding government accountable for their fiscal plan.  The new office would provide analysis of the cost of government programs. Alberta needs a legislative budget office Provincial governments across Canada, including Alberta, have seen their credibility decline over the past two decades due to inaccurate budget forecasts and a lack of comprehensive assessment of the costs of policy measures and programs, particularly policy measures and programs with significant medium- to long-term fiscal implications. Weakness in legislative oversight over spending and the lack of legislative scrutiny ov...
AIMCo’s investments -Part 1- U.S. equities
Agencies, Government Finances, Opinion/Research

AIMCo’s investments -Part 1- U.S. equities

In my recent post describing events at the public meeting of the Standing Committee of the Alberta Heritage Fund I provided an overview of AIMCo's investments in the United States.  In this post, the first of a three part series, I take a deeper look at AIMCo's U.S. portfolio.The next part addresses AIMCo's overall portfolio of about $150 billion and part 3 examines the volatility of Heritage Fund income. Background As an institutional investor with over $100-million in U.S. registered securities AIMCo is required to file a monthly Form 13F.  The filing was utilized by members of the public questioning the wisdom and ethics of certain investments. This externally required disclosure by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission only shows a small proportion of AIMCo's total assets un...
Northwest Upgrader- more surprises ahead for Alberta taxpayers?
Agencies, Credit Ratings, Energy, Government Finances, Politics

Northwest Upgrader- more surprises ahead for Alberta taxpayers?

Soon after the Legislative Assembly was recessed on 6 December, Alberta’ Executive Council (provincial cabinet) passed Order in Council 219/2023 to authorize the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission (APMC) to borrow money to finance the operations of the North West Redwater (Sturgeon) refinery. The maximum amount to be borrowed "shall not exceed $2.9-billion"- hardly a relief for Alberta taxpayers.  The O.C. also authorizes the President of Treasury Board and Minister of Finance to “make advances to or purchase securities of the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission” not to exceed the same $2.9-billion limit. It will be the Crown in Right of Alberta who will be raising this money by issuing securities and the Crown will become the debtor. Under section 7, the terms and conditions ...
Alberta government could be on hook for $1.3-billion
Agencies, Government Finances, Opinion/Research, Politics

Alberta government could be on hook for $1.3-billion

Background In March 2020 the Alberta government’s investment manager the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) lost approximately $2-billion due to trading losses. AIMCo had established an investment strategy based on, in effect, insuring counter-parties against volatility trading losses. This strategy was called VOLTs for volatility trading strategy. The losses occur occurred suddenly due to dramatic financial market volatility caused by the declaration of the global COVID pandemic. The impact of these losses was felt most particularly by Alberta’s public sector plans including the Local Authorities Pension Plan (LAPP), the Public Service Pension Plan (PSPP) and the Special Forces Pension Plan (SPFF). Soon after the losses were revealed, AIMCo’s board commissioned a study ...
Prosper Free Enterprise! More handouts to multinationals
Economic Data, Employment, Energy, Government Finances, Investment, Politics

Prosper Free Enterprise! More handouts to multinationals

Updated 20 December 2023 If low taxes was the supreme good of libertarian governments and eliminated the need for additional company specific grants, why is the UCP government doling out up to $5-billion in additional handouts mainly to foreign=owned corporations for capturing carbon. The announcement by Premier Smith and the heretofore missing in action Brian Jean- Alberta's energy minister paved the way for another major announcement, this time Premier Smith alongside Deputy Minister Chrystia Freeland (see below).   Alberta Carbon Capture Program Another successfully orchestrated communications announcement by Smith came this past Tuesday 28 November.  With the wind in her sails, Smith has come off two federal high court victories (impact assessment and toxic plastics...
An Alberta Pension Plan- Thoughts, Ideas, Experiments -Episode 6 with Trevor Tombe, Virendra Gupta and Ellen Nygaard
Demographics, Economic Data, Financial Institutions, Government Finances, Investment, Politics

An Alberta Pension Plan- Thoughts, Ideas, Experiments -Episode 6 with Trevor Tombe, Virendra Gupta and Ellen Nygaard

Background On September 21st Premier Danielle Smith, Finance Minister Nate Horner and former provincial treasurer Jim Dinning gave a press conference about an Alberta Pension Plan. There were two features of the conference- first the public release of a long-anticipated report from actuarial and consulting firm Lifeworks.  The second aspect of the release was the announcement of what is being called an engagement panel led by former Treasurer Jim Dinning.  Dinning served under Ralph Klein and then contested unsuccessfully the PC leadership in 2006. Jim Dinning was Alberta Treasurer when CPP reforms were undertaken Source: Calgary Herald At the news conference Dinning said this about the idea of an Alberta Pension Plan (APP)- ”it could be a game changer for the financial ...