Saturday, November 23

Budget

Budget 2018- Voices under the Dome
Budget

Budget 2018- Voices under the Dome

Originally posted 23 March 2018 Updated 26 March 2018 After the Finance Minister rises to give the budget address, media outlets and political parties gather around their cameras and party banners to give their reaction to the budget.  Under the Rotunda Dome and around the fountain around the large fountain there is a buzz of excitement as the bows and arrows are drawn in this political blood sport. [wpvideo ts69nagH] (more…)
Budget, Fiscal History, Opinion/Research

And then there were none: Pros and Cons of a Sales Tax

 Originally posted 2 March 2018 Economics Society of Northern Alberta hosts debate on sales tax All MLAs invited -but all missing in action Key obstacle is public's perception that governments will just waste the money Will a crisis tilt Alberta to new massive cuts or a sales tax? Are Alberta public sector workers overpaid?  Relative to whom? (more…)
Third Quarter Fiscal Update
Budget

Third Quarter Fiscal Update

Originally published 2 March 2018 Finance Minister Joe Ceci's fiscal update issued on 28 February was more upbeat than previous reports. The headline number was a $1.4 billion reduction in the provincial deficit forecast for the fiscal year ending 31 March 2018.  For critics, the government kept the spending floodgates open; for partisans the economy was growing strongly courtesy of the sound steerage of the NDP government. Below we examine some of the details. (more…)
The MacKinnon-Mintz Fiscal Prescription
Budget

The MacKinnon-Mintz Fiscal Prescription

Originally posted 13 December 2017 In late October, the School of Public Policy at the University of Calgary published a research paper co-authored by Janice MacKinnon and Jack Mintz.  [AB-Budget-New-Trajectory-MacKinnon-Mintz-final]  Janice MacKinnon is a professor of public policy and former NDP Minister of Finance of Saskatchewan.  Mintz is the President's Professor of Public Policy at UofC and former Director of the School of Public Policy. Both writers have formidable reputations as commentators on public policy and also as academics who have worked at the highest bureaucratic and political levels in the formulation of budgetary and taxation policies. (more…)
Budget 2017- Opinion
Budget

Budget 2017- Opinion

Overview Joe Ceci's 2017 budget could be characterized as a "steady as she goes" budget. The citizens of Alberta will be paying for this budget, and many previous budgets, with higher taxes and higher debt service costs for years, if not decades, to come. There are many observers who feel the budget was "ok" since programs and capital spending are not disturbed. There are also many Albertans who do not believe using the credit card to support spending is the right way forward. One half of Mr. Ceci's address spoke of the capital spending and repair and maintenance undertaken by the Government. Virtually no corner of the province escaped mention: a courthouse for Red Deer a new hospital for South Edmonton Highway construction for Fort Saskatchewan Deerfoot Trail in Calgary an...
Third Quarter Fiscal Update
Budget

Third Quarter Fiscal Update

Green shoots- still clouds on horizon Treasury Board President and Finance Minister, Joe Ceci released the Government of Alberta's Third Quarter Fiscal Update and Economic Statement on Thursday 23 February 2017. Overall the fiscal picture has not changed very much over the past three months. The 2017-18 budget is expected to be in March and will likely reflect some tweaks to the fiscal 2017 numbers published today. There is definitely some more optimism in Alberta today as oil prices have stabilized, pipeline approvals announced, and Fort McMurray rebuilds. Possibly the worst is behind the economy but there is little reason to be complacent. Today Mr. Ceci announced the passage of an Order in Council authorizing the borrowing of up to $14 billion. He immediately cautioned that this appro...
Not a great start to Budget 2017
Budget

Not a great start to Budget 2017

Opinion On 9 January 2017 at 11:23 a.m. I received an email from the Government of Alberta with a press release entitled "Albertans asked for input into Budget 2017"  [News Release].  Puzzled by the contradiction between the desirability of open public consultation on matters of great public interest and these closed door meetings, I hopefully contacted Mike Brown, the Press Secretary for Treasury Board President Joe Ceci, at 12:12 p.m.to learn where the Edmonton event was to be held.  As veteran political columnist, Graham Thomson, reported in today's Edmonton Journal (NDP's public consultations look more like public relations, 10 January 2017)  he was able to get a response from Brown, albeit unsatisfactorily, on the secret location of the meeting. At the time of writing (6:30 p.m. 11 J...
Budget

Budget 2017 signals- Opinion and Questions

The content of the article from the Edmonton Journal of 19 September  2016 is likely to be repeated many times over the coming months before next Spring's 2017 budget. The article quotes the Health Minister and Deputy Premier speaking with addictions' treatment officers. Her choice of words is most interesting: "I have a deficit and the price of oil is a fraction of what we're seeing it at."  The use of "I" suggests that senior cabinet members may now recognize that having been in office for nearly 18 months, they will be held accountable for deficits and not the former Progressive Conservative government. They now have to cope with a fiscal reality that perhaps they (and their advisers) hoped would not persist. As the Minister expressed to this audience, she would "like to provide far ...
Weak Land Tenure Sales Persist
Budget, Energy

Weak Land Tenure Sales Persist

Originally posted 6 September 2016 Sales of oil sands leases since 1 April, the start of the Province`s fiscal year have been weak. As the table below illustrates,  except for the June sale, interest has been weak. Land sales remain important as a leading indicator of future energy investment. Public Sales Results- Oilsands Date Bonus Hectares $/HA 11-May 61,690.63 5,169.89 11.93 25-May 3,717.12 1,024.00 3.63 22-Jun 11,170,378.05 28,039.00 398.39 06-Jul 150,192.64 1,280.00 117.34 03-Aug 170,923.52 3,264.00 52.37 Totals 11,556,901.96 38,776.89 298.0358136 The charts following are taken from the Department of Energy`s webpage disclosing its Petroleum and Natural Gas Sales Statistics. The historical data prov...